Commercial News

Business confidence increases for third consecutive month

Rozi Jones -
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29th November 2019
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"Concerns about the impact of the UK leaving the EU continued to ease slightly and hiring intentions have stabilised as we move towards the end of the year"

Overall business confidence rose for the third consecutive month in November, as optimism regarding the economy increased to its highest levels since January, according to the latest findings from the Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking Business Barometer.

The three point increase took business confidence to 9%. Economic optimism increased a further nine points to 7%, which followed a rise of eight points last month.

Firms’ assessment of their own trading prospects for the year ahead remained broadly stable over the past three months, with this month’s net balance slightly lower, down two points to 12%.

Companies’ concerns about the UK leaving the EU continued to ease this month as the Barometer showed a two point increase to -16%, the least negative since January. Businesses views on the impact of leaving the EU continues to be quite polarised, with 22% of businesses, the highest since April, believing that leaving the EU will have a positive impact (up from 19%), while 38% (up from 37%) continue to expect a negative impact from leaving the EU.

The number of firms expecting to increase their employee numbers in the coming year also improved slightly in November, rising two points to 5%. Overall, more than a quarter of businesses (28%) expect to increase employment, while those anticipating a reduction decreased by one point to 23%.

Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said: “The third consecutive increase in overall business confidence is positive for the UK as economic optimism reaches the highest level since January. Moreover, concerns about the impact of the UK leaving the EU continued to ease slightly and hiring intentions have stabilised as we move towards the end of the year and look ahead to 2020.”

Chirag Shah, CEO of Nucleus Commercial Finance, commented: “With another delay in Brexit and a general election looming, it is encouraging to see that businesses remain resilient. As many businesses ramp up their efforts in preparation for the busy holiday season, this confidence and optimism will be key to a successful end to the year.

“For these businesses, alternative finance can form part of the solution to ensure there aren’t any gaps during this busy period. Whether it be to increase stock or headcount, businesses owners should look to this type of funding to capitalise on the festive spirit.”

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